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Three things moved markets overnight. Only one made the headlines.
The Signal
Energy Just Quietly Flipped Bearish
The headlines are screaming oil. Positioning is whispering something else. XLE slipped beneath its short-term trend while crude kept the bullish narrative alive. Price is still talking. Capital has already started walking.
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Bull case vs. bear case
"The geopolitical premium still is not fully priced."
"Demand data cannot carry the story much longer."
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Tina's car · 2002
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